James W. Byrd vs. Harriet Hageman polls and 2026 forecast (Wyoming Senate)
Our forecast gives Harriet Hageman (R) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Hageman +39.5; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Hageman +52.0 and Hageman +27.3. Incumbent: Cynthia Lummis (R). 2024 presidential result here: R+47.0.
Senate forecast · How the forecast works