Rachel Fetty Anderson vs. Shelley Moore Capito polls and 2026 forecast (West Virginia Senate)
Our forecast gives Shelley Moore Capito (R) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Capito +37.9; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Capito +45.7 and Capito +29.8. Incumbent: Shelley Moore Capito (R). 2024 presidential result here: R+42.7.
Senate forecast · How the forecast works