Annie Andrews vs. Darline Graham polls and 2026 forecast (South Carolina Senate)
Our forecast gives Darline Graham (R) a 68% chance of winning (rating: Lean R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Graham +2.1; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Graham +8.1 and Andrews +3.7. Polling average: Graham +0.5 across 9 polls. Incumbent: Darline Graham (R). 2024 presidential result here: R+18.1.
Senate forecast · How the forecast works