Jack Reed vs. Raymond McKay polls and 2026 forecast (Rhode Island Senate)
Our forecast gives Jack Reed (D) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Reed +29.3; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Reed +23.1 and Reed +35.4. Polling average: Reed +30.2 across 5 polls. Incumbent: Jack Reed (D). 2024 presidential result here: D+14.2.
Senate forecast · How the forecast works