Sherrod Brown vs. Jon Husted polls and 2026 forecast (Ohio Senate special election)
Our forecast gives Sherrod Brown (D) a 75% chance of winning (rating: Lean D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Brown +3.1; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Husted +2.8 and Brown +9.0. Polling average: Brown +4.0 across 32 polls. Incumbent: Jon Husted (R). 2024 presidential result here: R+11.3.
Senate forecast · How the forecast works