Cory Booker vs. Justin Murphy polls and 2026 forecast (New Jersey Senate)
Our forecast gives Cory Booker (D) a 99% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Booker +18.7; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Booker +10.8 and Booker +26.6. Incumbent: Cory Booker (D). 2024 presidential result here: D+6.0.
Senate forecast · How the forecast works