Dan Osborn vs. Pete Ricketts polls and 2026 forecast (Nebraska Senate)
Our forecast gives Pete Ricketts (R) a 64% chance of winning (rating: Lean R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Ricketts +1.6; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Ricketts +7.7 and Osborn +4.5. Polling average: Ricketts +1.5 across 16 polls. Incumbent: Pete Ricketts (R). 2024 presidential result here: R+20.8.
Senate forecast · How the forecast works