Alani Bankhead vs. Kurt Alme polls and 2026 forecast (Montana Senate)
Our forecast gives Kurt Alme (R) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Alme +21.3; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Alme +29.4 and Alme +13.4. Polling average: Alme +24.6 across 10 polls. Incumbent: Steve Daines (R). 2024 presidential result here: R+20.6.
Senate forecast · How the forecast works