Scott Colom vs. Cindy Hyde-Smith polls and 2026 forecast (Mississippi Senate)
Our forecast gives Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) a 98% chance of winning (rating: Safe R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Hyde-Smith +9.7; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Hyde-Smith +15.8 and Hyde-Smith +3.7. Polling average: Hyde-Smith +4.8 across 4 polls. Incumbent: Cindy Hyde-Smith (R). 2024 presidential result here: R+23.1.
Senate forecast · How the forecast works