Jamie Davis vs. Julia Letlow polls and 2026 forecast (Louisiana Senate)
Our forecast gives Julia Letlow (R) a 94% chance of winning (rating: Likely R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Letlow +11.2; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Letlow +20.1 and Letlow +2.4. Polling average: Letlow +7.9 across 2 polls. Incumbent: Bill Cassidy (R). 2024 presidential result here: R+22.4.
Senate forecast · How the forecast works