Charles Booker vs. Andy Barr polls and 2026 forecast (Kentucky Senate)
Our forecast gives Andy Barr (R) a 98% chance of winning (rating: Safe R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Barr +18.0; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Barr +27.7 and Barr +8.3. Polling average: Barr +10.6 across 2 polls. Incumbent: Mitch McConnell (R). 2024 presidential result here: R+31.0.
Senate forecast · How the forecast works