Juliana Stratton vs. Don Tracy polls and 2026 forecast (Illinois Senate)
Our forecast gives Juliana Stratton (D) a 97% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Stratton +16.1; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Stratton +6.0 and Stratton +26.1. Polling average: Stratton +10.2 across 1 poll. Incumbent: Dick Durbin (D). 2024 presidential result here: D+11.1.
Senate forecast · How the forecast works