Jon Ossoff vs. Mike Collins polls and 2026 forecast (Georgia Senate)
Our forecast gives Jon Ossoff (D) a 98% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Ossoff +10.3; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Ossoff +4.5 and Ossoff +16.1. Polling average: Ossoff +9.4 across 18 polls. Incumbent: Jon Ossoff (D). 2024 presidential result here: R+2.2.
Senate forecast · How the forecast works