John Hickenlooper vs. Mark Baisley polls and 2026 forecast (Colorado Senate)
Our forecast gives John Hickenlooper (D) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Hickenlooper +21.1; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Hickenlooper +13.1 and Hickenlooper +29.1. Incumbent: John Hickenlooper (D). 2024 presidential result here: D+11.3.
Senate forecast · How the forecast works