Everett Wess vs. Barry Moore polls and 2026 forecast (Alabama Senate)
Our forecast gives Barry Moore (R) a 99% chance of winning (rating: Safe R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Moore +20.2; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Moore +28.4 and Moore +12.0. Polling average: Moore +18.3 across 2 polls. Incumbent: Tommy Tuberville (R). 2024 presidential result here: R+30.9.
Senate forecast · How the forecast works