Lisa Kinney vs. Chuck Gray polls and 2026 forecast (Wyoming's at-large House seat)
Our forecast gives Chuck Gray (R) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Gray +39.5; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Gray +47.8 and Gray +31.3. Incumbent: Harriet Hageman. 2024 presidential result here: R+47.0.
House forecast · How the forecast works