Brad Smith vs. Glenn Grothman polls and 2026 forecast (Wisconsin's 6th District)
Our forecast gives Glenn Grothman (R) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Grothman +17.6; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Grothman +24.1 and Grothman +11.3. Polling average: Grothman +27.9 across 1 poll. Incumbent: Glenn Grothman (R). 2024 presidential result here: R+16.7.
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