Andrew Beck vs. Scott Fitzgerald polls and 2026 forecast (Wisconsin's 5th District)
Our forecast gives Scott Fitzgerald (R) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Fitzgerald +18.8; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Fitzgerald +26.2 and Fitzgerald +11.6. Incumbent: Scott Fitzgerald (R). 2024 presidential result here: R+22.5.
House forecast · How the forecast works