Gwen Moore vs. Tim Rogers polls and 2026 forecast (Wisconsin's 4th District)
Our forecast gives Gwen Moore (D) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Moore +60.8; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Moore +53.6 and Moore +67.9. Incumbent: Gwen Moore (D). 2024 presidential result here: D+52.5.
House forecast · How the forecast works