Rebecca Cooke vs. Derrick Van Orden polls and 2026 forecast (Wisconsin's 3rd District)
Our forecast gives Rebecca Cooke (D) a 62% chance of winning (rating: Lean D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Cooke +1.4; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Orden +4.6 and Cooke +7.3. Polling average: Orden +3.1 across 4 polls. Incumbent: Derrick Van Orden (R). 2024 presidential result here: R+7.5.
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