Mitchell Berman vs. Bryan Steil polls and 2026 forecast (Wisconsin's 1st District)
Our forecast gives Bryan Steil (R) a 72% chance of winning (rating: Lean R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Steil +2.6; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Steil +8.6 and Berman +3.2. Polling average: Steil +4.4 across 4 polls. Incumbent: Bryan Steil (R). 2024 presidential result here: R+4.6.
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