Kim Schrier vs. Spencer Meline polls and 2026 forecast (Washington's 8th District)
Our forecast gives Kim Schrier (D) a 99% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Schrier +17.8; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Schrier +10.4 and Schrier +25.2. Incumbent: Kim Schrier (D). 2024 presidential result here: D+6.0.
House forecast · How the forecast works