Pramila Jayapal vs. Nirav Sheth polls and 2026 forecast (Washington's 7th District)
Our forecast gives Pramila Jayapal (D) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Jayapal +78.3; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Jayapal +71.2 and Jayapal +85.5. Incumbent: Pramila Jayapal (D). 2024 presidential result here: D+77.6.
House forecast · How the forecast works