Becca Balint vs. Gerald Malloy polls and 2026 forecast (Vermont's at-large House seat)
Our forecast gives Becca Balint (D) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Balint +35.9; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Balint +29.9 and Balint +42.0. Polling average: Balint +25.6 across 4 polls. Incumbent: Becca Balint (D). 2024 presidential result here: D+32.8.
House forecast · How the forecast works