Joy Powers vs. Morgan Griffith polls and 2026 forecast (Virginia's 9th District)
Our forecast gives Morgan Griffith (R) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Griffith +39.2; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Griffith +46.5 and Griffith +31.9. Incumbent: Morgan Griffith (R). 2024 presidential result here: R+44.4.
House forecast · How the forecast works