Bobby Scott vs. Edwin Rivera polls and 2026 forecast (Virginia's 3rd District)
Our forecast gives Bobby Scott (D) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Scott +45.1; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Scott +37.9 and Scott +52.4. Incumbent: Bobby Scott (D). 2024 presidential result here: D+35.2.
House forecast · How the forecast works