James Walkinshaw vs. Arthur Purves polls and 2026 forecast (Virginia's 11th District)
Our forecast gives James Walkinshaw (D) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Walkinshaw +45.1; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Walkinshaw +37.8 and Walkinshaw +52.5. Incumbent: James Walkinshaw (D). 2024 presidential result here: D+35.3.
House forecast · How the forecast works