Peter Crosby vs. Blake Moore polls and 2026 forecast (Utah's 2nd District)
Our forecast gives Blake Moore (R) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Moore +22.5; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Moore +29.0 and Moore +16.0. Polling average: Moore +4.6 across 3 polls. Incumbent: Blake Moore (R). 2024 presidential result here: R+29.9.
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