Laura Jones vs. Jessica Hart Steinmann polls and 2026 forecast (Texas's 8th District)
Our forecast gives Jessica Hart Steinmann (R) a 99% chance of winning (rating: Safe R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Steinmann +20.2; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Steinmann +28.5 and Steinmann +11.8. Incumbent: Morgan Luttrell. 2024 presidential result here: R+28.0.
House forecast · How the forecast works