Lizzie Fletcher vs. Alexander Hale polls and 2026 forecast (Texas's 7th District)
Our forecast gives Lizzie Fletcher (D) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Fletcher +33.4; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Fletcher +26.0 and Fletcher +40.7. Incumbent: Lizzie Fletcher (D). 2024 presidential result here: D+24.1.
House forecast · How the forecast works