Chelsey Hockett vs. Lance Gooden polls and 2026 forecast (Texas's 5th District)
Our forecast gives Lance Gooden (R) a 99% chance of winning (rating: Safe R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Gooden +15.8; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Gooden +23.3 and Gooden +8.4. Incumbent: Lance Gooden (R). 2024 presidential result here: R+21.8.
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