Greg Casar vs. Lauren Peña polls and 2026 forecast (Texas's 37th District)
Our forecast gives Greg Casar (D) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Casar +64.8; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Casar +57.7 and Casar +72.1. Incumbent: Greg Casar (D). 2024 presidential result here: D+57.7.
House forecast · How the forecast works