Johnny Garcia vs. Carlos De La Cruz polls and 2026 forecast (Texas's 35th District)
Our forecast gives Carlos De La Cruz (R) a 78% chance of winning (rating: Lean R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Cruz +4.0; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Cruz +10.9 and Garcia +2.8. Polling average: Cruz +6.1 across 1 poll. Incumbent: None (new seat). 2024 presidential result here: R+10.6.
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