Vicente Gonzalez vs. Eric Flores polls and 2026 forecast (Texas's 34th District)
Our forecast gives Vicente Gonzalez (D) an 83% chance of winning (rating: Likely D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Gonzalez +4.5; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Flores +1.6 and Gonzalez +10.7. Polling average: Gonzalez +2.6 across 4 polls. Incumbent: Vicente Gonzalez (D). 2024 presidential result here: R+10.2.
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