Colin Allred vs. Patrick Gillespie polls and 2026 forecast (Texas's 33rd District)
Our forecast gives Colin Allred (D) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Allred +41.0; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Allred +32.7 and Allred +49.3. Incumbent: Jasmine Crockett. 2024 presidential result here: D+33.3.
House forecast · How the forecast works