Dan Barrios vs. Jace Yarbrough polls and 2026 forecast (Texas's 32nd District)
Our forecast gives Jace Yarbrough (R) a 95% chance of winning (rating: Safe R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Yarbrough +11.4; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Yarbrough +19.7 and Yarbrough +3.0. Incumbent: None (new seat). 2024 presidential result here: R+18.1.
House forecast · How the forecast works