Justin Early vs. John Carter polls and 2026 forecast (Texas's 31st District)
Our forecast gives John Carter (R) a 99% chance of winning (rating: Safe R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Carter +18.1; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Carter +25.6 and Carter +10.7. Incumbent: John Carter (R). 2024 presidential result here: R+22.1.
House forecast · How the forecast works