Frederick Haynes III vs. Everett Jackson polls and 2026 forecast (Texas's 30th District)
Our forecast gives Frederick Haynes III (D) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Haynes +54.8; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Haynes +46.5 and Haynes +63.1. Incumbent: None (new seat). 2024 presidential result here: D+47.8.
House forecast · How the forecast works