Sylvia Garcia vs. Martha Fierro polls and 2026 forecast (Texas's 29th District)
Our forecast gives Sylvia Garcia (D) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Garcia +44.6; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Garcia +37.2 and Garcia +52.0. Incumbent: Sylvia Garcia (D). 2024 presidential result here: D+30.8.
House forecast · How the forecast works