Henry Cuellar vs. Tano Tijerina polls and 2026 forecast (Texas's 28th District)
Our forecast gives Henry Cuellar (D) a 97% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Cuellar +9.8; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Cuellar +3.5 and Cuellar +16.2. Polling average: Cuellar +10.5 across 3 polls. Incumbent: Henry Cuellar (D). 2024 presidential result here: R+10.5.
House forecast · How the forecast works