Tanya Lloyd vs. Michael Cloud polls and 2026 forecast (Texas's 27th District)
Our forecast gives Michael Cloud (R) a 99% chance of winning (rating: Safe R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Cloud +16.0; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Cloud +23.4 and Cloud +8.8. Incumbent: Michael Cloud (R). 2024 presidential result here: R+21.5.
House forecast · How the forecast works