Steven Shook vs. Brandon Gill polls and 2026 forecast (Texas's 26th District)
Our forecast gives Brandon Gill (R) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Gill +20.8; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Gill +28.2 and Gill +13.4. Incumbent: Brandon Gill (R). 2024 presidential result here: R+24.1.
House forecast · How the forecast works