Kevin Burge vs. Beth Van Duyne polls and 2026 forecast (Texas's 24th District)
Our forecast gives Beth Van Duyne (R) a 98% chance of winning (rating: Safe R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Duyne +12.8; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Duyne +20.3 and Duyne +5.3. Incumbent: Beth Van Duyne (R). 2024 presidential result here: R+16.4.
House forecast · How the forecast works