Kristin Hook vs. Mark Teixeira polls and 2026 forecast (Texas's 21st District)
Our forecast gives Mark Teixeira (R) a 98% chance of winning (rating: Safe R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Teixeira +15.2; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Teixeira +23.4 and Teixeira +6.7. Incumbent: Chip Roy. 2024 presidential result here: R+22.1.
House forecast · How the forecast works