Veronica Escobar vs. Adam Bauman polls and 2026 forecast (Texas's 16th District)
Our forecast gives Veronica Escobar (D) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Escobar +27.2; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Escobar +19.7 and Escobar +34.4. Incumbent: Veronica Escobar (D). 2024 presidential result here: D+16.6.
House forecast · How the forecast works