Mark Nair vs. Ronny Jackson polls and 2026 forecast (Texas's 13th District)
Our forecast gives Ronny Jackson (R) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Jackson +41.5; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Jackson +48.9 and Jackson +34.2. Incumbent: Ronny Jackson (R). 2024 presidential result here: R+46.7.
House forecast · How the forecast works