Claire Reynolds vs. August Pfluger polls and 2026 forecast (Texas's 11th District)
Our forecast gives August Pfluger (R) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Pfluger +29.2; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Pfluger +36.6 and Pfluger +22.0. Incumbent: August Pfluger (R). 2024 presidential result here: R+34.8.
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