Caitlin Rourk vs. Chris Gober polls and 2026 forecast (Texas's 10th District)
Our forecast gives Chris Gober (R) a 98% chance of winning (rating: Safe R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Gober +12.2; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Gober +18.8 and Gober +5.5. Polling average: Gober +8.2 across 1 poll. Incumbent: Michael McCaul. 2024 presidential result here: R+22.9.
House forecast · How the forecast works