Yolanda Prince vs. Nathaniel Moran polls and 2026 forecast (Texas's 1st District)
Our forecast gives Nathaniel Moran (R) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Moran +45.0; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Moran +52.3 and Moran +37.5. Incumbent: Nathaniel Moran (R). 2024 presidential result here: R+49.9.
House forecast · How the forecast works