Justin Pearson vs. Brent Taylor polls and 2026 forecast (Tennessee's 9th District)
Our forecast gives Brent Taylor (R) a 98% chance of winning (rating: Safe R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Taylor +11.6; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Taylor +18.3 and Taylor +4.7. Polling average: Taylor +9.7 across 1 poll. Incumbent: Steve Cohen. 2024 presidential result here: R+21.4.
House forecast · How the forecast works